Football analysis and strategy from Chris B. Brown
Paragraph of the day, red zone playcalling edition
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Paragraph of the day, red zone playcalling edition
Red Zone Play-Calling On a first down Red Zone play, teams are more likely to score if it’s a run than a pass if they are at the 8 yard line or closer. Anything between the 9 and the 20 favors a pass on first down. That doesn’t mean that 100% pass is the optimal…
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First down means everything
According to an exhaustive study of NFL play data conducted by Yale professor Cade Massey, what happens on first and 10 in an NFL game is a powerful indicator of who will win. According to Dr. Massey, an assistant professor at the Yale School of Management, the ability of an NFL team to meet certain…
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Smart Notes 1/18/2010
1 Is it possible for a defense to be “good against the run” or “good against the pass,” or is it merely good, mediocre, or bad? Chase Stuart, in two excellent posts heavy on the game theory (available here and here), shows that, at the very minimum, it’s difficult to say anything meaningful about a…
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Spurrier wants balance: Is he asking the right questions? Are his critics?
Steve Spurrier watched the game film of his offense’s horrible performance against NC State and concluded: we weren’t aggressive enough. And people are ridiculing him for it. Steve Spurrier has watched the entire N.C. State game twice and part of it a third time. The South Carolina coach reached two conclusions: The Gamecocks were too…
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This post is about game planning and play-selection
Suppose first that you wish to cross a river that is spanned by three bridges. (Assume that swimming, wading or boating across are impossible.) The first bridge is known to be safe and free of obstacles; if you try to cross there, you will succeed. The second bridge lies beneath a cliff from which large…
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